How did Yang end up with a final four of Kansas, Villanova, Duke and North Carolina?

probability(team1 wins)=1/(1+exp(-(-.25*(team1's seed-team2's seed)+0.5*(1,
if team1 is playing near home,0 otherwise)-0.5*(1, if team2 is playing near
home,0 otherwise)+0.3*(1 if I think team 1 has an edge, -1 if I think they
have a negative edge, 0 otherwise)-0.3*(1 if I think team 2has an edge, -1
if I think they have a negative edge, 0 otherwise))))

Then I used the rand() function on Excel. if the random number is less than
probability(team1 wins) then team 1 wins, otherwise team 2 wins.

Yang